Daily Commentary
Headline News:
U.S. stock futures are lower as investors appear to be taking gains after a two-day rally. Also, the start of the first-quarter earnings season could have investors in a wait-and-see mode. The progress of President Biden’s new infrastructure proposal will also be closely watched. Later today, the U.S job openings report will be released and could give more clues on the economic recovery’s health.
Markets:
The S&P 500 closed at another all-time high at 4077.91, but volume remained low with only 2,220,003,840 shares traded. The RSI index is close to the overbought level, closing at 68.27 in support of the rally. The low volume and a potentially overbought index are a small concern, but there is a new uptrend now in place. Possible resistance could come in at 4083.42, and potential support could come in at 4034.44. A down or sideways trading day is likely today after two strong rally days.
We are currently long-term bullish and short-term cautious.
John N. Lilly III CPFA
Accredited Portfolio Management Advisor℠
Accredited Asset Management Specialist℠
Portfolio Manager, RJ
Partner, DJWMG
Windsor Wealth Planners & Strategist
Futures trading is speculative, leveraged, and involves substantial risks. Investing always involves risk, including the loss of principal, and futures trading could present additional risk based on underlying commodities investments.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and changes of price movements.
The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S stock market. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investors’ results will vary. Opinions expressed are those of the author John N. Lilly III, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. “There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecast provided herein will prove to be correct. “The information contained was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing always involves risk, and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success. The charts and/or tables presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as the sole basis for your investment decision. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, different financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets.
This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any company’s stock mentioned above.
The Labor Department’s JOLTS report tracks monthly change in job openings and offers rates on hiring and quits. The reporting period lags other employment data including the employment situation report. The word JOLTS stands for Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.