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Market Updates

Daily Commentary

March 22nd, 2021

Headline News:

U.S. stock futures are flat, and bond yields are lower to start the week. The 10- Treasury yield moved five basis points lower to 1.68% in pre-market trading, easing some higher inflation concerns. The tech-heavy  Nasdaq looks set to open higher but is still 6% lower off the 2/12/21 record closing high. Investors will also be watching a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at 9:00 a.m, and he will appear before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday regarding the CARES Act.

Markets:      

The S&P 500 closed at 3913.10, flat for the day, and well below support at the 3928.65 level. The volume was massive, with 4,678,514,176 shares traded, which appears to be due to sector rotation out of high valuations technology stocks. The index traded down to 3886.75 and rallied, so we know that potential buyers exist at this level. The base we had been watching for is now gone, and the index now has a lot of work to do to, potentially, continue the recent uptrend. We will now move to a short-term cautious stance.

We are currently long-term bullish and short-term cautious.

John N. Lilly III CPFA
Accredited Portfolio Management Advisor℠
Accredited Asset Management Specialist℠
Portfolio Manager, RJ
Partner, DJWMG
Windsor Wealth Planners & Strategist

Futures trading is speculative, leveraged, and involves substantial risks. Investing always involves risk, including the loss of principal, and futures trading could present additional risk based on underlying commodities investments.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and changes of price movements.

 

The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S stock market. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investors’ results will vary. Opinions expressed are those of the author John N. Lilly III, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. “There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecast provided herein will prove to be correct. “The information contained was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing always involves risk, and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success. The charts and/or tables presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as the sole basis for your investment decision. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, different financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets.

 

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any company’s stock mentioned above.

 

US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value.  US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government.  Bond prices and yields are subject to change based upon market conditions and availability. If bonds are sold prior to maturity, you may receive more or less than your initial investment. Holding bonds to term allows redemption at par value. There is an inverse relationship between interest rate movements and bond prices. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and when interest rates fall, bond prices generally rise.

 

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