Morning Commentary
Headline news:
U.S. Stock markets are set to open higher today after Tuesday’s selling on trade and growth concerns. Also, the IMF cut the global growth forecast which brings back a global slowdown concern. Investors will now be keying off the upcoming earnings announcements that will start on Friday. If earnings start to come in weak, we feel more selling could come into the markets.
Markets:
The S&P 500 broke below a minor trend line on Tuesday after post two straight days of new yearly highs. Support now becomes the old year high set on 3/21/2019 at 2860 along with the ten-day moving average. We feel the markets will be patient with major buying or selling until earnings season starts on Friday. RSI moved out of the oversold level which is what we were wanting to see happen.
Economy:
The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 0.4% which was the biggest advance since January 2018. This was on top of a 0.2% advance in February. In the 12-month period through March, the CPI increased 1.9%. Inflation remains low and wage growth only increasing moderately. So the Federal Reserve should remain on course to not increase rates this year.
We are currently long term bullish with short term caution.
John N. Lilly III
Accredited Portfolio Management Advisor℠
Accredited Asset Management Specialist℠
Portfolio Manager, RJ
Partner, Windsor Wealth
Windsor Wealth
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum Oscillator that measures the speed and changes of price movements.
The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S stock market. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investors’ results will vary. Opinions expressed are those of the author John N. Lilly III, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. “There is no guarantee that these statements, onions or forecast provided herein will prove to be correct. “ The information contained was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing always involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success. The charts and/or tables presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as the sole basis for your investment decision. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, different financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets.