U.S. stock futures are higher after a better than expected jobs report was released this morning. The Labor Departments Nonfarm payrolls increased by 1.371 million jobs in August, missing economist estimates, but the unemployment rate fell from 10.2% in July down to 8.4% in August, beating estimates. Most of the job gains have been workers being recalled from furloughs or temporary layoffs. The pressure will now be on the White House, and Congress restart negotiations over the next coronavirus relief package.
The S&P 500 sold off heavy on Thursday on a considerable increase of volume at 3,186,798,592, and the RSI index moved out of the overbought zone closing at 57.34. Typically a move below the 70 level is a short term sell signal. The S&P 500 traded down to 3,4271.41 and rallied late to close at 3455.06. Potential support could now come in at 3444.15, briefly breached yesterday, and then possibly at 3399.54. Possible resistance could not come in at 3484.35 if buyers return to the market. On a longer-term chart, the horizontal trend line did provide support and is still in place to possibly support today.
We are currently long-term bullish and short-term bullish.
John N. Lilly III CPFA
Accredited Portfolio Management Advisor℠
Accredited Asset Management Specialist℠
Portfolio Manager, RJ
Windsor Wealth Planners & Strategist
Futures trading is speculative, leveraged, and involves substantial risks. Investing always involves risk, including the loss of principal, and futures trading could present additional risk based on underlying commodities investments.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and changes of price movements.
The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S stock market. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investors’ results will vary. Opinions expressed are those of the author John N. Lilly III, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. “There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecast provided herein will prove to be correct. “The information contained was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing always involves risk, and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success. The charts and/or tables presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as the sole basis for your investment decision. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, different financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets.
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