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Daily Commentary

July 24th, 2020

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Headline News:

U.S. stock futures are set for a lower open due to the escalation of tensions between the U.S. and China. Overnight China ordered the United States to close its consulate in Chengdu in retaliation for the Chinese consulate in Houston being closed. Investors appear concerned that the tensions would have adverse effects on the U.S. stock market. The big technology companies would be affected the worst, and they are the stocks that have been the leaders in the recent stock market rally.

Markets:

The S&P  tested the weeks high 3279.32 only to sell off lat in the day to close at 3235.66. The index is now just above crucial potential support at 3233.13. The next level of potential support could come in at the 3198.59 level. The volume was higher, and the RSI index also moved lower after moving higher all week. So, we are now cautious about going forward about the direction of the market. If buyers come back in today, the current uptrend should still be intact. However, heavy selling to close out the week could be a change in the index trend.

We are currently long-term bullish and short-term bullish.

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John N. Lilly III CPFA
Accredited Portfolio Management Advisor℠
Accredited Asset Management Specialist℠
Portfolio Manager, RJ
Partner, DJWMG
Windsor Wealth Planners & Strategist

 

Futures trading is speculative, leveraged, and involves substantial risks. Investing always involves risk, including the loss of principal, and futures trading could present additional risk based on underlying commodities investments.

 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI), developed by J. Welles Wilder, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and changes of price movements.

 

The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks that is generally considered representative of the U.S stock market. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Keep in mind that individuals cannot invest directly in any index, and index performance does not include transaction costs or other fees, which will affect actual investment performance. Individual investors’ results will vary. Opinions expressed are those of the author John N. Lilly III, and not necessarily those of Raymond James. “There is no guarantee that these statements, opinions, or forecast provided herein will prove to be correct. “The information contained was received from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Investing always involves risk, and you may incur a profit or loss. No investment strategy can guarantee success. The charts and/or tables presented herein are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as the sole basis for your investment decision. International investing involves special risks, including currency fluctuations, different financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic volatility. Investing in emerging markets can be riskier than investing in well-established foreign markets.

 

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any company’s stock mentioned above.

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